The News Cycle Market

We have seen a lot of news over the last two weeks and it should not be sur­pris­ing that this news and how it is pre­sent­ed can influ­ence the mar­ket con­di­tions.

How news cov­er­age influ­ences the cryp­to and stock mar­kets. 

Ukraine War Escalation
Sept 2022

Followed by Bank failures. 

Silicon Valley Bank March 2023. 

Signature Bank March 2023.

So the recipe for gains in the Cryp­to mar­ket is pos­i­tive social envi­ron­ment rel­a­tive war free news cycles, Good econ­o­my.  

So here we are now in 2024, we have none of those things and so we see a big drop. It is what it is… 

 2024, bank fail­ures (so far) 

Repub­lic First Bank PA

What is inter­est­ing here is the fact that the first bank fail­ure of 2024 was not wide­ly pro­mot­ed announced on Fri­day, April 26th 2024. 

This news was not shown on most large media out­lets, (it did appear on the inter­net, web­sites includ­ing Fox Busi­ness) how­ev­er what is inter­est­ing here is that we should have seen this news cov­ered on Mon 29th of April three days after the announce­ment. 

Fox Busi­ness made no men­tion of this news on Mon­day it did not even show up on the rolling text news tick­er. 

Yes­ter­day Fox busi­ness Final­ly cov­ered on Air, this news, late in the day and at the height of the stock mar­ket sell off, ‑670 points down…

They wait­ed until things were at the worst…  Then they report­ed the news as if they had been cov­er­ing it all along, kind of like a Oh, by the way repub­lic first bank failed over the week­end. 

We know that the news does this kind of thing from time to time they fea­ture some news above oth­er and bury news they do not want you to see. 

So, why did they wait?

Were they wait­ing to see if there was going to be yet anoth­er bank fail so they could sen­sa­tion­alise the news?

The thing is this Cryp­to mar­ket is very sus­cep­ti­ble to the news cycle and it is also is influ­enced by the stock mar­ket cycle as well but per­haps not as much as in the past. 

The last big drop / crash  hap­pened due to a com­bi­na­tion of social events, Ukraine war, bank fail­ures. 

This is what caused a great deal of issues with val­ue and price of BTC and ALT mar­kets. 

As well the FED with its ham fist­ed approach to doing things that are actu­al­ly the oppo­site of what needs to be done and they do it over and over again. 

So we are look­ing at mar­ket dis­rup­tions bad finan­cial and eco­nom­ic news. 

The poten­tial for a region­al or world wide con­flict. 

Social unrest. 

All of these things con­tribute to a poor mar­ket out­come.