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2016 democrats Politics

Poll numbers drop for Hillary

In recent news for the past few weeks Hillary has seen a steady decrease in poll numbers along with some seriously bad poll questions.

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Politics

skewed polls more bad math?

Are we seeing more bad math in the assumption of many polls that show an unrealistic lead for the democratic candidate with many news companies reporting this as fact when it might not be could it be further proof that the media may not be trustworthy.

If you believe the media there is no real need to have an election which would be somewhat insulting if it were actually coming from a credible source but sadly as many have suggested over the last few years journalism is dead.

 Polls used to be a little more accurate however now it appears that for the most part a poll is just a tool for whom ever pays the most money.

Why bother if all your doing is trying to muddy the water.

 

 

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Politics

Election news why polls mean nothing

You see polls and you see election results they hardly ever work together to produce a meaningful result. You may think that they do because the media tends to play games with the news coverage.

The thing is people are all different they change things change everything changes, so in reality polls mean nothing at all for so many great reasons polls are irrelevant however the most important part of the why polls are not reflective of reality is that people value their privacy.

They have the right to vote the way they want to vote and that is also private.

When some one walks up to a stranger and says say how are you going to vote? The most likely answer is not the one that will give real data to a poll it is the one that people actually think and feel that is the real data and most of the time if some one says one thing its likely that the opposite is closer to the truth.

Ever heard the old saying mind your own business a lot of people feel that way.

Its like asking someone a very personal question one that they do not have the right to even ask so the answer is not always the correct thing.

People feel no responsibility to answer correctly because, you know, “Its none of your business”

That is why polls can never be accurate and they are usually not even close…

Yet you hear it over and over again on the media about how polls tell this story or tell that story or they do this or they do that but really all they do is tell the story of whom ever it is that pays for the poll.

That is the truth and that is what you should consider when you hear the media talk about a poll, because a crystal ball is about as accurate most of the time…

 

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Politics

Americans say the only polls they care about start on Nov 6th

There was a popular Polling company that ran a poll about what people think about polls, it was funny in a way because it confirmed what how most people feel about Polls, the thing about polls is that they are by nature subjective simply because the company running the poll are in a bad position for actually gathering valid data.

Think about it this way if you truly expect to be able to gain objective data from a poll you would have to do it either in person or in such large numbers that the question bias would no longer apply to the data.

Polls simply are not reflective of the truth because they are subject to so many different issues, from the area codes where calls are made to the nature of the questions and the ways that they are asked.

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ABC Gossip ABC tabloid? abc yellow journalism arrogant america Politics

Fast and Furious an American Scandal

You know in times past we did things as a nation that were not always the best thing to do, in retrospect we can see that sometimes ignorant things happen however also in the past those men who made those ignorant mistakes would resign or even perhaps end up being prosecuted.

That has not happened in this case and there are many people that feel those people and those families on both sides of the border deserve an answer to the questions that continue to plague this administration.

This was received in an email

Dear Patriot,

It might seem that our efforts to hold Attorney General Eric Holder accountable have gotten mixed into the shuffle with Obamacare and the recent political conventions and we haven’t given proper credit to all of you for your accomplishment on getting AG Holder held in Criminal Contempt of Congress.  
 
For months we have been occasionally asking you to send letters to only your individual representatives in Congress and you responded in a HUGE way!  Together we have passed the half million mark for letters sent to Congress demanding that they do everything in their power to remove Eric Holder from office!
 
US Attorney General Eric Holder has continuously stonewalled the Congressional investigation into the “Fast and Furious” scandal by withholding evidence and documents requested by Congressional committees. He has been held in contempt of Congress. His lawsuits to prevent states from implementing voter ID laws is clearly intended to protect the ability for Democrats to use voter fraud to win tight elections.  For crying out loud, we have to show a picture ID to get on a plane or check in to a hotel! Why not to vote?

It appears that he even may go after the political polling company Gallup for publishing a poll that was not favorable to President Obama!

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Politics

to debate or not to debate?

That is the question…

The media would have you believe that the most important qualification for
political office is the ability to debate on Television.

The truth is far from that and as usual the media have managed to at least
attempt to convince most of the viewing public that debating is the number
one consideration in choosing a candidate.

The fact is that debating in a hostile environment is likely not very practical at
all, in the last debate one of the candidates decided to skip the event, it did not
seem to matter at all.

What I find interesting is that when you see a debate where the moderators are
biased, and the main agenda is to craft a presentation that creates the impression
that one candidate or another has some magic favor that no one really understands.

They do polls that are subjective but are presented as if they were fact instead of
bad scientific guesses that frequently are skewed in favor of the paying party.

Ask a certain question and you will get a certain answer.

So in reality you really cannot trust a poll, because it is really just a representation
of the opinion of the prevailing party.  Yet you often see Fox news talk about how
this poll or that poll tells the story, but in reality it really only tells the story that
the person who paid to have the poll performed.

Who wants to pay for data that does not support their position and agenda right?

Well that sums it up nicely, because for the most part when you see someone
talk about what a polls says it usually means that they have a dog in the hunt.

When I see one of these bobble heads on the news quote a particular poll, the first
thing I consider is how many people were contacted, what time of day was it, where were
they living, in an area that is mostly democratic, or mostly independent, or mostly one view
or another.

The truth may be stranger than fiction…

 

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Politics

Polls are they accurate?

Polls can you ever really be sure that they are even scientific at all?

Subjective data can never be trusted as valid?

When you think about it, what they are doing is rife for subjective analysis, it reeks in many ways of impure science that is often portrayed by the media as some kind of holy grail of political correctness when in reality it is hardly accurate at all.

We see polls here and Polls there, one poll contradicts another, and no one ever seems to cover the disparity…

We are always see these polls being presented by the media as some kind of predictive method that is so right that they have to design a mathematical plus or minus sign next to the figures they “come up with” the thing is are these “polls accurate at all”

 Are polls biased?

This morning some poll or another, was released, that showed, that a certain percent of a certain percent, of some people that might vote or might not vote in the next election, have some kind of negative view of the tea party.

How do they come up with those figures, are those methods really reliable?

Scientific analysis, or scientific sampling, is a process where you attempt to “sample” a group of Americans, (some of which might or might not be here legally) and you try to get some kind of information from them, however, where do they live and do they live in a particular area where one viewpoint might be held over another, and is that process fair?

The idea that someone who wanted to project a particular method they know would get the result they wanted, is really a little suspect. When you look at that situation it is fraught with dangers, in subjective analysis, that process is not really scientific, the numbers they come up with may be scientific, but the process and the method they use, may not be subjective at all. So when you see it on TV, and they say this is the latest poll, what are they really saying? This might be very subjective, it might even be biased, (allegedly) it might not be really even accurate at all?

Are they saying that the stature of liberty was really made by aliens from outer space? Are they saying that the Ghost busters, are going to be repairing the statue of liberty? Are they saying that in some universe that we are yet unaware of that the social ramifications of Goldilocks and the three bears is somehow a topic of interest to some strange alter ego? Sounds crazy right, like some kind of yellow journalism or some kind of strange tabloid headline. The funny thing here is that you could get some kind of poll numbers on any of those strange subjects, above, are they really important at all? Not really, simply the thing here is that polls do not really reflect the American public, because the sampling is too low and it is not widely dispersed, and it is not done in an objective manner.

Yet, you see this morning on the Today show, a tag line saying “allegedly” Tea party, the politics of Anger? This is the kind of biased journalism that many have come to expect what would those people do if somehow CNN started actually reporting the news what would happen then? Would pigs fly? Perhaps, because that may be what it takes to get some of these allegedly very biased news or entertainment companies to do the right thing and start reporting again…

Until then hope you find a better method of getting your news, or you could just get it here, you will not find any yellow journalism here….

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Politics

Fox news not real news?

Is fox news failing to meet the expectation of the consumer of hard news?

The idea that the 24 hour news cycle and its expected influence on voting habits of adult voters, is highly unlikely.

Today we noticed that during a fox news segment, that one of the bobble heads that do the news, either with a short short skirt, or a sort of strange grin on their faces, they try to make the news instead of reporting on it, it is really interesting to watch these people try to influence the tone and the treble of how the news is reported.

The topic they were trying to influence was that a certain candidate was polling higher than others.

What they failed to state was the source of the poll, the likely intent of the voter, the area where the voters were living, (ie voters who lived in a certain district in new york state) this is a problem when new personal present news that has allegedly been polluted by bias.

When you fail to provide a basis of hard news fact checking you produce substandard news, (if you can call it that at all)

So is fox news, really about the news or is it about what the bobble heads think the news should be about.

When you consider it, you have to think about how the reality of the news should be presented not the way you personally feel about the news but the way that the facts dictate.

Facts are real not opinions, the problem is that in many situations fox news allows the opinon of the reporter to color the news story.

 

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Bill oreilly insults Republicians, Sarah Palin and Pot smokers…

You know what, Ol Bill is just not the same…

Lying with wolves, or should that be dancing with wolves, or wait, its a tree, no its a plane no its super man, ok, yes, we all know this is a joke right, but you know it really seems like Bill is no longer a no spin zone thing, he has over the last four months steadily moved over the the left, I guess so he can keep getting invited to those nice posh dinners at the white house.

Must be nice, to sell out so cheaply.

Why is Fox news, allegedly, moving to the left when the rest of the United States is moving to the right?

Because we want to know.

Where is Bill?  Is he ok?   We are concerned, because he has been gone a long time.

So what is up with Good ol Billy boy, is he, now spinning but ignoring the story?

Seems like the no spin zone now just ignores a story they do not want you to know about…

Is Bill Oreilly slipping in ratings?   Over the last few weeks it appears that the no spin zone is sort of taking a back seat to

a more liberal appearance, we have to ask is bill ok?

What is going on over at Fox News, is the White house right about them not really being a news company?

Because of what might be an alleged unfounded and outright spin, (lie)

a liberal Spin, on the No Spin Zone, what is going on with Bill, has he lost it?

WE want to know where did Bill Oreilly get the information published on last nights broadcast?

We want to know how the no spin zone put this out there, this is an insult to pot smokers, LOL

What company was involved in the poll?

Was it a Fair Poll?

Number one here is why is not Fox news covering this story?

Last night I observed a very unfair and really Nasty thing, I thought that it was the no spin zone,

but you know what, last night that ended for me.

I just dont get this, because this was so obviously biased and it was uncalled for and it was not funny.

You know usually I like Bill, oreilly but over the last few weeks I have begun to like the program less and less. Today there was a very unfair comparison done where an alleged, poll was purported to have been done which likened Republicans that liked Sarah Palin to Pot smokers…

This was really not fair in any way, Polls are suspect, in fact most of the polls today are not even accurate.

This includes Rasmussen, reports, which statistically regularly conducts polls that are not very accurate.

But I rather suspect that Rasmussen reports would not touch that particular report with a ten foot pole.

Here is the really bad part, first, polls are notorious for not being accurate, just ask any professional and you can be certain of three things, any personal information generally will not be communicated.

1. This means that if you ask someone if they ever smoked pot, they will tell you no, unless its Bill then he might say he never inhaled, but don’t try that because no one will believe it.

2. If you ask someone about their sex lives, they are not going to tell you the truth.

3. if you ask someone if they ever committed a crime, again they are not going to tell you the truth.

So What we have here is a Lie, plain and simple, and on top of that it was done on national TV,

Fox news owes, Republicans an Apology.

Fox news owes, Sarah Palin an Apology.

Fox news owes, Pot smokers an Apology.

The person responsible for this should be fired.

Before this I was almost sure that Fox news was fair, but you know what I dont feel that way any longer.

PS, Fox News owes most of California an Apology…